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BYLAW - OPA #52 - 19881005 - 302988I / -~: h-'-j;_;~li>:!--?c-(t CY~~:f~:~-~~--~:.. '.2-:/ ~ /Oq 'f1,:;u.-) ;3o o .. -~'C/ ADOPTION BY-LAW FOR OFFICIA .. PLAN AMENDMENT NO. 52 , . ~a~~ BY-LAW NUMBER 3029-88-· ~ /(! f1 0 'PI OF THE MUNICIPAL CORPORATION OF THE TOWN OF AURORA . LJ· . ~ The Council of the Corporation of the Town of Aurora, under Section 17 (6) of the Planning Act, 1983, hereby enacts as fo 11 ows: 1. Official Plan Amendment No. 5? for the Town of Aurora, consisting of the attached maps and explanatory text, is hereby adopted. 2. The Clerk is hereby authorized and directed to make application to the Minister of Municipal Affairs for approval of Official Plan Amendment No. ?2 for the Town of Aurora. 3. This By-law shall come into force and take effect on the day of the final passage thereof. READ A FIRST AND SECOND TIME THIS 7th DAY OF ___ s:::.:e::.tp:.::.te::.:m::.:b::.::e:=..r __ , 1988 READ A THIRD AND FINAL TIME AND FINALLY PASSED THIS --::.:5t'"'"h __ DAV OF __ O""c""'t""ob""e""r'-----• 198 8, Certified that the above is a true copy of By-law No. 3029-88 as enacted and passed by the Council of the Corporation of the Town of Aurora on October 5th • 198-8, c;;ca_ CLERK / 'I I :; . . i ( . ' ' ·~ d I .. . , H .. . { This Amendment to the Official Plan for the Town of Aurora, which has been adopted by the Council of the corporation of the Town of Aurora, is hereby approved in accordance with Section 17 of the Planning Act, 1983 as Amendment No. to the Official Plan for the Town of Aurora. DATE: SIGNATURE: i . PART I PART II STATEMENT OF COMPONENTS BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT does not constitute part of this Amendment. THE SECONDARY PLAN FOR THE AURORA EAST INDUSTRIAL ESTATES consisting of the following text and map (designated Schedule 'A' Land Use) constitutes Amendment No. to the Official Plan for the Town of Aurora. ) ·•. I LIST OF CONTENTS PART I -BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT 1.1 1.2 1.3 1. 3.1 1. 3. 2 1. 3. 3 1. 3.4 1. 3. 5 1.4 Purpose Location Basis Planning Context Industrial Needs Study Summary contiguous Development Access -The External Road System Availability of Services Environmental Factors 1.5 Servicing 1.5.1 sewage Capacity 1.5.2 Sanitary Sewers 1.5.2.1 Main Trunk Sewer 1.5.2.2 Internal Sewers 1.5.3 Water Supply 1.5.3.1 Pressure Zones 1.5.3.2 Water Supply 1.5.3.3 Design Criteria 1.5.3.4 Consumption Rates 1.5.3.5 Pressure Requirements 1.5.3.6 Servicing Concepts 1.5.4 Storm Drainage 1.5.4.1 Existing Watershed 1.5.4.2 Floodplain Mapping 1.5.4.3 Drainage System Design Criteria 1.5.4.4 Storm Drainage Works 1.5.4.5 Erosion and Sediment Control Plans 1.6 Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Figure 4 Land Ownership Existing Urban Physical Structure Existing Land Use and Zoning Environmental Factors Land Ownership Page 1 1 2 2 4 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 13 13 14 15 15 15 15 16 18 18 LIST OF CONTENTS (Cont'd) PART II -THE SECONDARY PLAN FOR THE AURORA EAST .... i INDUSTRIAL ESTATES ., ' . :-... 2.1 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.2.6 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6.1 2.6.2 2.6.3 2.6.4 2.7 2.8 Development Objectives Land Use Policies Prestige Industrial General Industrial Service Commercial Commercial Major Open Space Specific Design Standards Access Road Network External Road Improvements Servicing Policies Water Supply Sanitary sewers Stormwater Management General Implementation Interpretation Schedule A Land Use Schedule B sanitary and Water Supply Schedule C Storm Drainage Page 19 20 21 22 22 24 25 28 31 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 36 gpm 1/s/ha gad KPa psi ABBREVIATIONS gallons per minute litres per second per hectare gallons per acre per day one thousand Newtons per metre squared pounds per square inch PART I: BACKGROQND AND CONTEXT 1.1 PURPOSE The purpose of this Amendment is to establish guidelines for development of the Aurora East Industrial Estates area as a future extension of Aurora's industrial area, within the context of the Official Plan of the Aurora Planning Area. Provisions are made for a major industrial park and policies are established for an associated tributary system to the Holland River. The proposed development pattern is based on a comprehensive examination of planning, environmental and servicing factors and an Industrial Land Needs Study prepared in accordance with the Foodland Guidelines of the Ministry of Agriculture and Food. Provfsion~--in the Amendment are made for the following specific land uses: a) Prestige Industrial, b) General Industrial, c) Service Commercial, d) Commercial, e) Major Open Space Specific 1.2 LOCATION rev/8.24.88 The Amendment area is bounded on the north by the St. John's Sideroad, on the east by Bayview Avenue, on the west for the main part by the tributary stream of the Holland River and on the south by Wellington Street. The Amendment area is more specifically shown on Schedule 'A,' Land Use Plan. - 1 - } 1. 3 BASIS The Amendment area represents a prime location for the expansion of Aurora's industrial complex. A successful industrial park can attract a range of industrial and auxiliary uses ranging from open space uses to showcase prestige industrial use and should. have the following attractions: a) Proximity to a major labour force. In this respect the Amendment area is within twenty (20) minutes of future urban populations amounting to over 200,000 persons. b) High degree of access to transportation facilities, raw goods and markets for finished products and services. ·. c) An amount of land of sufficient size to accommodate the development of a distinctive industrial park including a range of industrial and auxiliary uses. d) The capability of being fully serviced and associated with a well organized external road system. The Amendment area has all of these positive characteristics. 1.3.1 Planning Context The Town of Aurora along with other urban centres in the Region of York has undergone rapid growth in both the residential and industrial sectors. In the past decade Aurora's population has increased from 14,250 in 1976 to approximately 21,200 in 1986 with a steady employment growth that has absorbed approximately 13 ha (32 acres) a year of industrial land. -2- 1.3.1 Planning Context (Cont'd) The Official Plan for the Town of Aurora sets out development policies for Aurora which make provision for a population of 29,000 persons; recent amendments awaiting approval will provide for over 31,000 persons. In addition to the urban population, the existing Official Plan designates approximately 204 hectares (504 acres) for industrial use. The physical urban structure map (Fig. 1) illustrates the location of major land uses in the urban area. Well defined urban boundaries are currently established by the major arterial road system; Bloomington Road to the south and Bathurst Street to the west, both of which form the municipal boundary; Bayview Avenue is the appropriate eastern boundary. Vacant lands within this urban boundary suitable for development are limited and include the study area which is the subject of this Amendment. Limited expansion can occur to the north of the St. John's Sideroad but is restricted by existing floodplains; no expansion can occur to the west or south. The logical area for the redesignation of lands for fully serviced urban use is to be found in the study area. This Amendment applies to the study area outlined on Fig. 1 (The Physical Urban Structure). A number of development applications within the study area coupled with the continuing depletion of vacant industrial designated land led to the initiation of an industrial secondary plan study. This Amendment is the product of that study. In developing the basis and policies of this Amendment, consideration was given to servicing and environmental factors, land ownership and physical urban structure. -3- 1.3.1 Planning concept (Cont'd) Traffic generation and distribution were examined, the opinions of landowners within and adjacent to the Amendment area were solicited and an Industrial Land Needs Study {Appendix 1) was produced for the Ministry of Agriculture and Food as required by the Foodland Guidelines. 1.3.2 Industrial Needs study -Summ~rv The Industrial Land Needs study was carried out as a requirement of section 3. 14 of the Foodland Preservation Policy Statement (Foodland Guidelines). The purpose of the study was to evaluate and confirm Aurora's need for lands for future industrial development both in terms of the amount of land required and the appropriate location. the main findings of the needs study. Following are a) Land that is currently designated for industrial development totals approximately 204 ha (504 acres). Less than 31 ha (77 acres) remain vacant consisting of 30 parcels. The majority of the vacant parcels are relatively small or of an awkward shape and are not considered adequate for the short term needs of the municipality (2 to 3 years) . b) The total developable land within the Amendment area is estimated to be approximately 152 ha (376 acres). c) The projected industrial land needs to the year 2011 were determined using two methods: the historic yearly absorption rate of industrial land: and, future employment forecasts coupled with an estimate of the -4- 1.3.2 Industrial Needs Study-Summary (Cont'd) percentage of the labour force employed in the industrial area using a worker density that would yield land area requirements. Included in requirements were certain commercial uses. The land requirements ranged as follows: a range of the land Year 2001-low of 87.7 ha (217a) to a high of 179 ha (442a) Year 2011 -low of 147.9 ha (365a) to a high of 309 ha (764a) 1.3.3 Contiguous Development The Amendment area is the most appropriate area for industrial expansion as it is contiguous to the existing indu'itrial area. New industrial development would be separated from the existing industrial uses by the floodplain of the Holland River tributary. Industrial expansion into the Amendment area ensures a location remote from most of the existing urban residential area; in addition the expansion is adjacent to the existing main sanitary sewer trunk as shown on Fig. 1. 1.3.4 Access -The External Road System The major criterion for the location of industrial parks is access; access to an appropriate labour market, the reception of raw goods, delivery of finished products and services and access to support services. In this regard the Amendment area is ideally located within the Town of Aurora and the Region of York. -5- 1.3.4 Access -The External Road System (Cont'd) The Amendment area has the potential to be well serviced by an external road system. The lands are adjacent to Bayview Avenue, the St. John's Sideroad and Wellington Street. A review of the York Region Employment End Travel Survey of 1986 and discussions with Regional staff indicate that the majority of the labour force employed in the industrial area will enter the area from the east. The lands are thus ideally located 3 krns west of Highway 404; the location of the future industrial expansion will minimize the impact of industrial traffic on Aurora's urban residential areas. A traffic generation and distribution study was carried out (Appendix II). The results of this study, along with discussions with the Region of York Engineering Department, indicate the need for a number of improvements to the external road network, including: a) requirement for 3 access locations from Bayview into the Amendment area north of Wellington; b) improvement to highway standards of St. John's Sideroad; 1.3.5 Availability of services Development within the Amendment area is to occur on the basis of full services. Sanitary sewage capacity is available and the existing main sanitary trunk is located in the Holland River valley adjacent to the Amendment area. The Amendment area is located within the lower pressure zone of the Aurora Community. Water supply will be implemented with the use of a looped watermain network along the external -6- 1.3.5 Availability of Services (Cont'd) road system. Two options are proposed for the water supply network, these are outlined in Section 1.5.3.6. A new water supply source for the Amendment area is required; such a source was investigated by the Region of York and a well location has been identified within the northeast of the Amendment area. Storm water management will involve the use of measures such as detention ponding to ensure that future site flows are reduced to existing levels to minimize impacts on the receiving watercourse. 1.4 ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS Figure 3 illustrates the environmental considerations; the main feature is the floodplain of the tributary of the Holland River which forms for the most part, the western boundary of the Amendment area. Fill regulation lines shown on Figure 3 are associated with the floodplain. These fill regulation lines are under the jurisdiction of the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority and are used to control development in close proximity to the floodplain. Development within the area between the fill regulation lines and the floodplain will require a permit from the conservation Authority. During the course of investigations, staff of the conservation Authority walked the Amendment area and indicated that, subject to review of detailed development plans, development could occur between the fill lines and the floodplain limits. -7- ·-.--,i 1.4 Environmental Factors (Cont'd) A major portion of the Amendment area contains natural slopes in excess of 7%. Development can occur in these areas as it has in the existing industrial area of Aurora. Care would be required in siting buildings, roadways and parking areas. The density of development or building coverage within areas of excessive slope is expected to be relatively low. The total developable land which would be utilized by building lots and the street system cannot be accurately defined in quantitative terms because of the areas of excessive slope coupled with the need to finalize the limits of development adjacent to the floodplain with the Conservation Authority; in addition, it is expected that development within the hydro corridor will be limited. The total area within the Amendment area outside of the floodplain is approximately 161.5 ha. (399 acres). It is assumed that the net developable land (area of building lots, and the internal street system but excluding the hydro corridor) will be in the range of 138 ha to 152 ha (340 to 375 acres). 1.5 SERVICING Development throughout the Amendment area is to proceed on the basis of full servicing. -8- 1.5.1 sewage Capacity The existing Official Plan of the Aurora Planning Area contains policies that will accommodate a residential population of 29,000 persons by 2001 along with an industrial land base of 204 ha. (504 acres). Prior to February, 1986, the Town of Aurora had been assigned sewage capacity under the York/Durham Servicing Scheme for a population of 31,000 persons and an industrial area of 204 ha. (504 acres). This was equivalent to a total sewage flow of 5,015,200 gallons per day based on sewage generation rates of 100 gallons per person per day for residential development and 3,800 gallons per acre per day for industrial land use. A recent review of actual sewage flows in Aurora revealed that existing development is generating flows that are less than the a~ticipated flow based on the above design criteria. As a result, the Region of York has modified the design flow criteria for industrial development from 3,800 gallons per acre per day to 2,000 gallons per acre per day. The revision of the design flow criteria has created an additional unallocated servicing capacity for Aurora of 1,458,000 gallons per day. This will service development above and beyond the requirements for a population of 31,000 persons and the 204 hectares of existing industrial designated lands. The proposed 376 acres of industrial development would require a capacity of 752,000 gallons per day which may be assigned from the unallocated reserve. -9- 1. 5. 2 Sanitary Sewers 1.5.2.1 Main Trunk Sewer In the summer of 1987, the 750mm diameter Aurora Parkway Trunk Sanitary sewer was constructed from St. John's Sideroad to Wellington Street along the Holland River Valley. This trunk sewer was designed to service approximately 838.5 ± hectares of land. This included the study area with the exception of 33 ± hectares of land located at the southwest corner of Bayview and St. John's Sideroad. Although not included in the original design tributary area, sufficient capacity exists within the trunk sewer to accommodate sewage fiows from these lands. 1. 5. 2 :~2 Internal Sewers Sanitary sewers will be located within the industrial road allowances with connections being provided at several locations to the trunk sewer in the valley. these sewers will be deep due to topography. Sections of The 33 hectares of land at the southwest corner of Bayview Avenue and St. John's Side road will require the construction of an extra deep sanitary sewer along St. John's Sideroad. conflicting inverts of this sewer and the Holland River may require that an inverted syphon be provided at the river crossing to allow a gravity connection to the trunk sewer in the valley. A servicing alternative would be the construction of a pumping station. -10 - 1.5.3. 1.5.3.1 1.5.3.2 WATER SUPPLY Pressure zones Aurora is presently divided into the upper and lower pressure zones, the boundary separating the two zones being roughly the 282 metre contour. The industrial lands to be serviced under this Amendment range in elevation from a high of 275m to a low of 250m. This places the entire study area within the lower pressure zone. Water Supply Water supply for the Aurora Community is dependent on groundwater availability in a local aquifer complex which also meets the demands of the Newmarket and Holland Landing districts. Monitoring of the water demand trends had indicated that the Town of Aurora would require development of an additional well to be brought into service before the summer of 1988. Development of this new well, located at the St. John's Sideroad, east of Old Yonge Street, is now underway and is expected to secure the water supply for the existing and committed development only. The provision of a water supply for the area subject of this Amendment, would require identification of additional local groundwater sources. To this end, an on-site groundwater exploration program was initiated in July, 1986 to locate and evaluate new municipal well sites. Gartner Lee Associates Ltd., Consulting Engineers, were retained by the Region of York to conduct this study. -11 - 1.5.3.2 1.5.3.3 Water Supply (cont'd) Their report was completed in September, 1987. The Region of York Engineering Department has since released (October 1987) a technical report on water supply for the Town of Aurora, Newmarket and East Gwillimbury. This report identifies a long term strategy for water supply to each of the subject municipalities. Within the report, a new groundwater source for Aurora is identified. Located approximately 200m .:!: south of St. John's Sideroad immediately adjacent to Bayview Avenue, the new well (well no. 6) is expected to have a maximum day capacity of 6,240 cubic metres per day. Based on a land development acreage of 152 ha (376a), this would be more than sufficient to meet the maximum day water requirements for the study area of 4,080 cubic metres per day. Design Criteria Pipe Size a) All watermains will be sized to carry the peak hourly flow with a head loss of five metres per thousand metres or less, (higher head losses will be accepted under fire flow conditions) . b) Due to the industrial land use in the study area, a minimum watermain size of 300mm (12 in.) is recommended. -12- 1.5.3.4 1.5.3.5 Consumption Rates Water demand rates will be in conformity with Regional Guidelines: a) Average day consumption: 0.221 1/s/ha (1700 gad) b) Maximum day consumption: 0.312 1/s/ha (2400 gad) c) Peak hour consumption: 0.375 1/s/ha (2900 gad) d) Fire flow: 230 1/s (3000 gpm) Pressure Requirements The water distribution network will be designed to meet the following maximum and minimum pressure requirements: a) minimum of 275 KPA (40 psi) during peak hour consumption; b) maximum of 690 KPA (100 psi) during minimum hour demands; c) minimum of 135 KPA (20 psi) under a combined maximum day system demand plus fire flow rate at the point of fire. -13 - 1.5.3.6 Servicing Concepts The identification of the future Well No. 6 site in the northeast of the study area will provide a source of water supply sufficient to meet the maximum day demands of the study area. However, the condition of peak hour and fire flow requirements will require that balancing storage be provided to the system. proposed to meet this requirement. Two options are Option One: The provision of an elevated storage facility on high ground close to the south end of the study area, or Option Two: The construction and sizing of external watermains to produce a strong connection to the existing water distribution network serving Aurora to utilize available storage in existing reservoirs. Schedule 'B' shows a schematic of the watermain layout for each of the two servicing options. Hydraulic analyses of these options should be conducted in conjunction with an examination of their impacts on the water distribution network serving the existing community. -14 - 1. 5. 4 STORM DRAINAGE 1.5.4.1 Existing Watershed The study area lies entirely within the Holland River watershed. The main branch of the Holland River borders the westerly limit of the study area and is orientated in a general south to north direction as shown on Schedule 'C'. In general, a well defined river valley and floodplain area are associated with the Holland River. Several tributaries of the Holland River traverse the site flowing in an east to west direction accommodating drainage from external areas east of Bayview Avenue. 1.5.4.2 Floodplain Mapping The Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority requires that Regional Storm floodplains be delineated in all areas where the upstream drainage area exceeds 125ha (.5 sq. miles) in size. The Regional Storm floodline for all the watercourses in the study area meeting this criteria was calculated in the floodplain mapping study undertaken for the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority. The Regional Storm floodline is shown on Schedule 'C'. 1.5.4.3 Drainage System Design Criteria The Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority requires that post development peak flows to the Holland River be controlled to the pre-development runoff rate for the 2 year through to the 100 year return period storm events. -15 - 1 1.5.4.3 Drainage System Design Criteria (Cont'd) i / Peak flows from external areas will be accepted rates for the 2 year through 100 year storms. at existing This will require that future development of upstream areas also provide runoff control. The design of the stormwater management facilities must be reviewed and approved by the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority, the Town of Aurora, and any other appropriate agency. All internal storm sewer systems will be designed to convey the 5 year return frequency storm flowing full. The minor system outlets will be directed to runoff control facilities or stabilized channels. Overland flow routes (roads, walkways and swales) must have the capacity to pass the 100 year flow without entering on to private property that is not subject to an approved storm drainage easement. 1.5.4.4 Storm Drainage Works Preliminary major and minor system drainage patterns and outlets have been established based on existing topography, preliminary grading concepts and proposed road patterns. On-site detention storage and several runoff control ponds are necessary to reduce site flows to existing levels. Preliminary major and minor systems layout and the proposed locations of the runoff control facilities are shown on Schedule 'C'. Detention ponds may be located between the 100 year and Regional Storm floodlines subject to the satisfaction of the Conservation Authority. -16 - 1.5.4.4 Storm Drainage works (Cont'd) Due to the natural topography in the study area, it is not feasible to grade all lands to achieve a continuous flow path for the major system drainage to the runoff control facilities. Implementation of on-site detention with sufficient storage to control runoff for the 100 year storm event to the minor system capacity will therefore be provided. This will permit conveyance of the 100 year post development flows to the runoff control facilities via the minor system. In order to utilize the full capacity of the storm sewers the site discharge rate will be set as the 5 year post development discharge rate. On site detention storage could be provided on building rooftops, in parking lots and/or landscaped areas. Thi$ crit-eria would be applicable to all developing lands tributary to the minor system draining to the runoff control facilities as shown on Schedule 'C'. Any development of lands where servicing constraints prohibit connection to the storm system outletting to the runoff control facilities will require application of on-site detention to a level to be determined at the detail design stage to meet the target flows at the downstream study limit. Submission of a stormwater management report for each site plan application detailing the orifice sizing, site grading and necessary storage to meet the allowable discharge rate, would be required for site plan approval by the Town of Aurora. -17- ''----~' 1.5.4.5 Erosion and Sediment Control Plans Sediment control techniques acceptable to the Lake Simcoe Region conservation Authority, the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Town of Aurora will be implemented prior to the initiation of any construction and maintained during the construction period. complete sediment control plans should be prepared as part of detailed design of the storm drainage systems, and should consider the use of vegetative buffer strips, gravel access pads with wheel washing, snow fence/straw bale fencing, runoff diversion, sealing of catchbasins during construction, and temporary and permanent sediment basins. 1.6 LAND OWNERSHIP Re-fer to attached map; Land Ownership -Figure 4 Parcel 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 to 16 incl. Owner Beavertop Investments Limited Bayview Business Park Inc. Donald Victor Schmidt Gordon William Schmidt Elizabeth Jean Schmidt Helen Kovacs Pak Quan Lee Various owners, 10 individual lots, each approximately 18.3 m x 50 m -18 - PART II: THE SECONDARY PLAN FOR THE AURORA EAST INDUSTRIAL ESTATES 2.1 DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES This Official Plan Amendment is intended to promote the following objectives for the Aurora East Industrial Estates. a) To create a functioning industrial area with provisions for a high standard of site planning and design that will be integrated with the existing industrial area to the west and with the overall physical structure of the Town of Aurora. b) To encourage the redevelopment of existing obsolescent land uses within the Amendment area with appropriate uses incorporating comprehensive design guidelines. c) To make provisions for a wide range of industrial and industrially related uses with provisions for high performance standards along the St. John's Sideroad, Wellington Street and Bayview Avenue frontages. d) To make provisions for appropriate service commercial uses to serve the needs of the industrial area and its employees and to concentrate these service commercial uses at key intersections of the internal road network and the external arterial roads in order to create easy access. e) To arrange the land uses throughout the industrial area in such a manner so as to efficiently utilize the existing road network. -19 - 2.1 f) DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES (Cont'd) To make provisions for a sui table road network and improvements to the existing system that will meet the future traffic demands of the industrial area. g) To make provisions for development to occur on full servicing and to ensure that adequate water supply, sewer and storm water management facilities are supplied. h) To manage and conserve their related flood the existing major water courses and plains and to ensure that the development is undertaken in such a manner so as to have minimum impact on the natural environment. i) To provide for the preservation of protective vegetative strips alongside certain watercourses that are potential fish habitats. j) To provide for the development of an integrated open space system linking public recreational facilities with the use of pedestrian and bicycle path systems located within the floodplains in the Amendment area. 2.2 LAND USE POLICIES The Official Plan of the Aurora Planning Area is hereby amended by changing the land use designation of the areas indicated on Schedule 'A' attached hereto and forming part of this Amendment from 'Rural' and 'Environmental Protection Area' to 'Prestige Industrial' , 'General Industrial', 'Service Commercial', 'Commercial', and 'Major Open Space Specific'. -20- 2.2.1 Prestige Indlistrial The Prestige Industial classification of land means that the predominant use of land in the designated areas shall be manufacturing, assembling, fabrication, processing, warehousing, trade schools, day care centres, wholesaling and the internal storage of goods. Office use assoicated with an industrial area shall be permitted, provided that the floor area and building size of development does not detract from the character of the industrial area. Living accommodations may be permitted for caretakers. A municipal government office complex may be permitted within the lands designated as Prestige Industrial in the Amendment Area in the vicinity of the intersection of Wellington Street and Bayview Avenue. A limited amount of free standing office buildings is permitted on the lands designated Prestige Industrial north of o/ellington Street on Lot 81 adjacent to the proposed municipal office complex. The total area for such offices shall not exceed a total of 2 hectares (5 acres) of land for building but excluding public streets. The office use shall be related primarily to the industrial area; office uses which are more appropriate for the Central Business District shall not be permitted. Retail uses are not permitted in the Prestige Industrial area. Lands within this designation shall be used for industrial uses on lots with a park like setting with a high degree of landscape design. The minimum lot sizes in the lands designated as Prestige Industrial shall be .8 hectares (2 acres). -21 - ,/-:;\ t ' "·-·-) 2.2.2 General Industrial The General Industrial classification of land means that the predominant use of land in the designated areas shall include all uses permitted in the Prestige Industrial category and will also include automobile repair shops, public and institutional uses institutions, curling of products made or shall be permitted. such as service clubs and arenas. clubs, Limited religious retail sale assembled in the industrial premises Limited outdoor storage may be permitted subject to appropriate screening being provided such that the storage does not detract from the quality of the industrial area. Secondary uses such as limited outdoor storage of goods and parking are permitted within the Ontario Hydro corridor, subject both to the approval of Ontario Hydro and compatibility with surrounding uses. The existing farm dwelling on Lot 84 adjacent to the floodplain may be retained and used as a restaurant after appropriate restoration. 2.2.3 Service Commercial The service Commercial classification of land means that the predominant use of land in the designated areas shall include office use related primarily to the industrial area, hotels and motels, restaurants, banks, specialty trades related to services to business such as printing, advertising and art layout studios. Uses which are more appropriate for the Central Business District shall not be permitted. -22- 2.2.3 Service Commercial (cont'dl Convenience type commercial uses shall not be permitted. Outdoor storage shall not be permitted in the Service commercial designation. In the event that those lands at the north west corner of the intersection of Bayview Avenue and Wellington Street are removed from the Major Open Space Specific designation to the satisfaction of the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority, they may be used for Service Commercial uses or as a municipal government office complex without amendment to this plan. Service Commercial blocks of approximately 2 ha in size have been designated at key intersections on Bayview Avenue. The extent of the areas may be slightly altered, provided that the character of the industrial area is not adversely affected. A municipal government office complex may be permitted within the lands designated as Service Commercial in the Amendment area at the north west corner of the intersection of Bayview Avenue and Wellington Street. Development within the lands designated as Service Commercial shall incorporate a high standard of urban design in keeping with the adjoining Prestige Industrial uses. A comprehensive block development design shall be established prior to development on each block designated Service commercial with particular attention to proper access, internal traffic -23- · 2.2.3 Service Commercial (Cont'd) circulation, adequate parking, and a high standard of design incorporating compatible landscaping, building form and materials of construction. 2.2.4 Commercial The lands designated as Commercial on Schedule 'A' are intended to function as Shopping Centre Commercial Use as outlined in Section 4 (5) (d) of the Official Plan of the Town of Aurora. Specifically the lands are to be used as a community sh~pping centre. The policies of Section 4 (5) (d) of the Official Plan of the Town of Aurora shall apply, except that the Community Shopping Centre will range in size from 2 to 5 hectares. The lands designated as Commercial within the Amendment area include an area of fragmented land ownership currently in residential use with individual accesses to Wellington Street. It shall be the policy of the Town to encourage assembly of these individual parcels in order that a comprehensive design concept for a future Community Shopping Centre development can be applied. To this end, development shall incorporate a high standard of urban design and shall be carried out in a comprehensive block concept. Particular attention shall be paid to appropriate landscaping adjacent to lands designated as Major Open Space Specific. The location and number of vehicular access points to the lands designated as Commercial and the adjoining General Industrial designated lands from Wellington Street shall be strictly controlled by the Town of Aurora and the Region of York. Access to the commercial area will be by way of an -24 - 2.2.4 commercial (Cont'd) internal road system connecting to Wellington Street. The alignment of such an internal road system shall be determined at the time of detailed development applications. 2.2.5 Major Open Space Specific a) The lands designated as Major Open Space Specific on Schedule 'A' possess physical characteristics such as flood susceptibility, erosion susceptibility, soil instability or any other physical condition which is severe enough to cause property damage and/or potential loss of life if the lands are developed. Specifically, the boundaries of the land designated as Major Open Space Specific are the Regional floodplain as defined by the Lake Simcoe Region conservation Authority. b) Permitted uses within the lands designated as Major Open Space Specific shall be limited to agriculture, conservation, horticultural nurseries, forestry, wild life area, active and passive public or private parks, including golf courses as well as the eventual open space use mentioned in paragraph 2.2.5 (e) below. c) The intended use of lands within the area designated Major Open Space Specific is public recreation. The Town shall make efforts to acquire and develop the lands as an open space system with passive areas and active playing fields linked by pedestrian and bicycle paths. The open space system shall be linked by the pedestrian and -25- j 2. 2. 5 Major Open Space Specific (cant' d) I i . J c) (cont'd) bicycle paths to the Family Leisure complex on the north side of Wellington Street and the site of the proposed municipal complex at the north west corner of the intersection of Bayview Avenue and Wellington Street. d) No structures of any kind except those having to do with flood or erosion control measures are permitted within the area designated as Major Open Space Specific. e) The placing or dumping of fill of any kind, or the alteration of any water course within the lands designated as Major Open Space Specific shall not be permitted without the expressed consent of the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority, and other relevant authorities including the Town of Aurora . f) Notwithstanding the long range intent of the Town of Aurora in developing a comprehensive open space system, where lands shown as being within the area designated as Major Open Space Specific are under private ownership, this Amendment does not indicate that these lands shall remain so indefinitely nor shall it be construed as implying that such areas are free and open to the public or will be purchased by the Town of Aurora or any other public agency. -26- 2.2.5 Major Open Space Specific (Cont'd) g) An Amendment to this plan would not be required in the event of boundary changes to the lands designated as Major Open Space Specific. Where such changes occur, the appropriate abutting land use designation shall apply without amendment and subject to the concurrence of the Town of Aurora after consultation with the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority and any other relevant public agency. h) Requests for changes to the boundaries of the lands designated as Major Open Space Specific may be considered on the basis of the following: i) The nature of any existing environmental and/or physical hazard; ii) The potential impact of these hazards on any proposed development within the changed area; iii)The proposed methods by which these impacts may be overcome in a manner consistent with accepted engineering techniques and water resource management practices. i) The Ministry of Natural Resources has identified a warm water stream with water quality suitable as a potential fish habitat. This stream is located within the boundaries of the Major Open Space Specific designation. The maintenance of the water quality is identified as a consideration of any development proposal. To this end a vegetative strip shall be maintained on either side of -27- 2.2.5 Major Open Space Specific (Cont'd) i) (cont'd) of the warm water stream and such strips are to be retained as closely as possible in their natural state. j) such vegetative strips shall be 15 metres on either side of the warm water stream. k) The Ministry of Natural Resources may require in certain cases of well defined top of bank, that the vegetative strip be extended to an area 9 metres beyond the top of bank. In any case, development proposals in the vicinity of the warm water stream will require consultation with the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority. 2.2.6 Design Standards The lands designated as Prestige Industrial, Service Commercial and Commercial within the Amendment area shall be developed with high standards of architectural and landscape design so as to present the area as the Town's primary industrial sector. It is the policy of council that the Town of Aurora shall initiate architectural and landscape design control guidelines for the lands designated as Prestige Industrial, Service Commercial and Commercial uses within the Amendment area. -28- 2.2.6 Design Standards (Cont'd) Prior to detailed development plans being prepared a landscape design plan shall be prepared for the lands within the Amendment area abutting Wellington Street, St. John's Sideroad and Bayview Avenue. The landscape design plan is intended to produce landscaping design standards and will address such items as: a) appropriate screening, tree planting, and other landscape elements for new development. b) appropriate building setbacks from the arterial system along with plantings through lots fronting for new development which are on the internal road system along Bayview Avenue and St. John's Sideroad. c) preservation and conservation of existing significant trees woodlots, and other vegetation. Particular emphasis will be placed on appropriate landscaping along Wellington Street East within the Amendment area reflecting the importance of this arterial as the eastern entrance to the urban sector of the Town of Aurora. The landscape study will also address appropriate tree planting along all new streets within the lands designated as' General Industrial and the landscape treatment lands within the Amendment area adjacent to designated as Major Open Space Specific. -29 - for those the lands 2.2.6 Design Standards (cont'd) Development within the lands designated as Prestige Industrial, Service Commercial and commercial within the Amendment area is to be designed in a 'campus' fashion in order that comprehensive design concepts can be applied over individual blocks. Design guidelines will include such matters as: a) co-ordination and compatibility of design, exterior materials and massing of individual buildings within a block. b) Uniformity of, lighting and signage shall be compatible with building design. c) Strip or linear development along the major collector and arterial roads shall not be permitted. d) Provision of common entrances shall be provided for the commercial and Service Commercial use fronting on Wellington Street East. A high standard of urban design shall be applied to development adjacent to the proposed municipal government complex. Particular attention shall be paid to appropriate landscaping, building design, building materials and appropriate setbacks from the municipal complex. Loading bays, refuse collection areas and extensive parking areas shall not be located adjacent to the proposed municipal government complex. -30- 2.3 ACCESS Access to all lands shall be encouraged to be by way of the internal road system, with the exception of those lands fronting Wellington Street in the vicinity of its intersection with Bayview Avenue and subject to the approval of the Region of York. A separate entrance to the proposed municipal complex shall be permitted from Bayview Avenue subject to approval from the Region of York. Direct private access for other uses from Bayview Avenue and St. John's Sideroad shall be permitted only with the approval of the Region of York and/or the Town of Aurora. 2.4 ROAD NETWORK A minimum of three intersections of the industrial collector system with Bayview Avenue north of Wellington Street is required as shown on Schedule 'A'. Intersections on Bayview shall generally be spaced at approximately 366 meters. 2.5 EXTERNAL ROAD IMPROVEMENTS Improvements to the external road system shall keep pace as development occurs and will include the following: a) full intersection improvements where the industrial collector system meets Bayview Avenue; b) improvement of St. John's Sideroad to the satisfaction of the Town of Aurora. -31 - ) 2.6 SERVICING POLICIES All development in the Amendment area will be supplied with full municipal services. 2.6.1 Water Supply The Amendment area falls within the lower pressure zone of the Aurora water supply system. Prior to commencement of construction, newly identified well site (200m ± the development of a south of St. Johns Sideroad immediately west of Bayview Avenue) in a manner satisfactory to the Region of York Engineering Department will be required to assure an adequate water supply for the Amendment area. The design of the water network to serve the Amendment area will be subject to the appropriate design criteria to the satisfaction of the Town of Aurora and where applicable to the Region of York. The main components of the water supply system are indicated on Schedule 'B' , sanitary and Water Servicing. The components and locations are diagrammatic only and changes including options other than shown on Schedule 'B', to the system can be made without amendment to this Plan. -32 - 2.6.2 Sanitary Sewers A sewage capacity has .been assigned to the Municipality by the Region of York in sufficient quantity to meet the needs of the land uses within the Amendment area. Prior to detailed development plans being approved the Municipality shall assign a specific capacity to the Amendment area. sanitary sewers for the Amendment area will connect to the existing trunk as shown on Schedule 'B', sanitary and Water Servicing. The connections to the existing trunk sewer as shown are diagrammatic only and may be altered without amendment to this Plan. 2.6.3 Stormwater Management Prior to commencing development, the Town of Aurora and the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation.Authority shall have approved a stormwater management study which would be included in the master servicing plan outlined in 2.6.4 below, describing the method and facilities for stormwater management for the Amendment area. Stormwater and floodplain management shall be implemented such that downstream flows do not exceed existing predevelopment flows, for the 2 year to 100 year return storm events. Preliminary detention pond locations are shown on Schedule 'C' , Storm Drainage. The number, size and location of components are diagrammatic only and may be changed without amendment to this Plan. -33- 2.6.4 General Prior to the commencement of detailed development plans, a master servicing plan shall be prepared for the study area to the satisfaction of the Town of Aurora, the Regional Municipality of York, the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority and any other relevant agency. The master servicing plan shall contain detailed designs for the provision of the water supply and distribution system, the sanitary sewer system, and the stormwater management system as required in 2.6.3 above, all in sufficient detail to allow individual developments within the study area to proceed with site plans and plans of subdivision. 2.7 _Implementation Implementation of this Amendment will involve the following. a) Approval of this Plan by the Minister of Municipal Affairs as an Amendment to the Town of Aurora Official Plan. b) Approval by the Town of Aurora of a landscape study outlined in Section 2.2.5. c) Approval by the appropriate authorities of the master servicing Plan including stormwater management as outlined in Section 2.6.4. -34 - 2.7 Implementation (cont'd) d) The processing of individual plans of subdivision with blocks of land being regulated primarily under exemptions to Part Lot control provisions of the Planning Act in order to provide for flexibility in establishing future lot sizes for individual users. e) The establishment by the Town of Aurora of a development charge policy, supported by the majority of the landowners, whereby those portions of the costs of major external road improvements and the provision of common servicing facilities, such as a water storage tank, portions of the main sanitary trunk or any other component that would service the entire development area would be attributable to the private development sector within the Amendment area. The development charges for the external services listed above do not include the municipality's normal levy charged to industrial development. Development costs will not be borne by the municipality nor will the municipality assume 'front end' costs as development proceeds. These development costs will be shared by all development, appropriately pro-rated among the land owners affected. f) The execution of necessary subdivision and development agreements as provided for in The Planning Act. g) The enactment of zoning bylaws under the provisions of Section 34 of The Planning Act. -35- 2.7 Implementation (cont'd) h) The requirement that, as a condition of subdivision plan approval, 2% of the land included in the subdivision plan, or where deemed appropriate, 2% of the value of the lands, be conveyed to the Town; lands designated Major Open Space Specific will not count as part of the 2% contribution. 2.8 Interpretation The boundaries of the land use designations as shown on Schedule 'A', the Land Use Plan, are approximate except where they abut the external road system. The Major Open space Specific designation boundary is based on the Regional flood plain mapping established by the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority. Minor adjustments to the land use boundaries will not require an amendment to this plan. Adjustment of the floodplain boundary will require consultation with the Conservation Authority. The location and configuration of the internal road system are approximate only and adjustments will not require an amendment to this plan. The location and number of intersections of the internal road system with St. John's Sideroad, Bayview Avenue and Wellington Street have been established in consultation with the Region of York; any changes to these intersections will not require an amendment to this plan but will require approval of the Region and the Town of Aurora. The variations mentioned above in Section 2. 8 may be permitted as long as the intent of the policies of this plan is maintained. -36- APPENDIX I THE INDUSTRIAL LAND NEEDS STUDY 1. PURPOSE The Town of Aurora, an Area Municipality in the Regional Municipality of York has, along with the Region, experienced rapid growth in the past decade, with a population change from 1976 of 14,250 persons in 1976 to 21,200 in 1986, an increase of 49% over the 1976 figure. The Town has also experienced a ' parallel growth in industrial development and by 1986 total .! developed lands of this category amounted to approximately 417 acres (169 ha). There is now insufficient land designated for future. industrial development for medium to long term requir~ments; the Town has consequently commissioned a study to determine the future needs and to establish the feasibility of industrial development for a parcel of land on the east side of the existing urban area. The location of this parcel is within the industrial study area as shown on Figure 1, the physical urban structure map which is found in Part I, the Basis of the Amendment. This brief is intended to evaluate and confirm the Town's need for lands for industrial development both in terms of the amount of land and the appropriate location for such a land use. The resultant documentation is intended to satisfy section 3.14 of The Foodland Preservation Policy statement of the Ministry of Agriculture and Food which sets out that when non agricultural development is proposed for prime agricultural land, such development is to be justified, and such justification is to be documented. -37- .; •. 2. FINDINGS The land currently designated for industrial development in the Town of Aurora amounts to approximately 204 hectares of which 31 ha remain vacant for future development at the time of writing (June 1987). These vacant lands consist of some 30 parcels, the majority of which are relatively small or are of an awkward shape; the vacant lands are not considered sufficient for the short term needs of the municipality and there is a 'requirement for the expeditious designation of a substantial area for planned, serviced industrial lands. The total developable land within the study area that can be serviced amounts to approximately 152.2 ha (376 acres); the exact area would be determined through consultation with the Lake Simcoe Region conservation Authority at the time that site plans and plans of subdivision are being processed. The projected need for future industrial and some associated commercial lands in the municipality is in the following range; Year 2001-low of 87.7 ha (217a) to a high of 179 ha (442a) Year 2011-low of 147.9 ha (365a) to a high of 309 ha (764a) These areas are for the industrial lots as well as the internal road network. The above future land needs are based on industrial employment forecasts to the year 2011 end projections based on historical rates of industrial development. The forecasted land needs are the result of using the most conservative assumptions throughout the analysis. -38- 2. FINDINGS (cont'd) 3. The lands within the study area are the most appropriate for future industrial use in view of the contiguous existing industrial. use to the west, the immediate access to the abutting main sanitary sewer trunk and the adjoining existing arterial road network; Fig. 1 illustrates these components. There is no alternative area within the municipal urban area boundary for such a major land use designation. METHODOLOGY The evaluation of future industrial land needs involves an established sequence of mutually supportive forecasting methods. a) The Industrial Employment Forecast method: This involves the forecasting of the number of jobs likely to locate within an industrial area associated with an urban concentration. Industrial densities or workers per hectare are then applied to the forecasted job creation in order to obtain the long term land needs. Two sets of data were examined in the preparation of this brief: summary employment projections for the Toronto Region prepared by the Metropolitan Toronto Planning Department; and, employment projections for York Region based on The Markham Transportation study of 1983. b) The Industrial Land Absorption Rate: This analysis examines the historic rate of industrial growth and applies this rate to obtain a future projection with a view to comparing the results with the results of the employment forecast method. -39- 3. METHODOLOGY ( cont' d) c) Urban Structure Analysis: The urban structure or physical layout of the urban area is examined to determine the most appropriate location of the industrial concentration in relation to servicing and compatibility .with the other major land uses. This analysis confirms that having determined the amount of industrial land required, there are no practical alternatives to the location of the subject lands. Data for the brief were collected from planning staffs of the Region of York, Metro Toronto, and The Town of Aurora. 4. THE STUDY AREA , -' The Physical Urban Structure Plan (Figure 1) in Part I shows the location of the study area along with the existing urban structure of Aurora. The study area is associated with a floodplain area of a branch of the Holland River which is under the jurisdiction of the Lake Simcoe Region Conservation Authority; registered fill regulation lines associated with the floodplain are located throughout the study area. The study area lands outside of the floodplain amount to approximately 161.5 ha (399a) including 9.3 ha (23a) of an Ontario Hydro corridor. _j It has been determined, in consultation with staff of the Conservation Authority that development throughout the area can occur on most of the lands between the fill regulation lines and the flood plain subject to negotiation with the Conservation Authority. The study area has moderate to severe -40- 4. THE STUDY AREA (cont'd) slopes particularly in proximity to the floodplain. Review of the topography, the fill regulation lines and the floodplain limits leads to an assumed developable area of approximately 152. 2 ha ( 3 76a) . This area includes lands for industrial development along with the lands for the internal road system, but excludes lands within the Ontario Hydro easement. The main sanitary sewer trunk that will service development in the study area follows the tributary creek system as shown on Figure 1. The area is well serviced by an external arterial road system; the St. John's Sideroad to the north is owned by the Town of Aurora, Wellington Street and Bayview Avenue are admini:;;_tere,d by the Region of York. The study area can be fully serviced. 5. EXISTING DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS Data used in this phase of the brief were collected by the Town of Aurora staff by way of a comprehensive phone survey of in- dustrial users throughout the municipality and on-site visual inspections. Land area measurements were made from zoning maps at a scale of 1" -400'. The purpose of this phase was to review the existing development pattern in order to establish the existing worker density, the amount of vacant industrial land, and the types of industries and, to provide an overview of the availability of commercial land within the urban boundary. -41 - •>·--. 5. EXISTING DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS (Cont'd) Figure 1 is a stylized picture of Aurora's physical urban structure. In order to determine the long term needs for industrial lands, it was necessary to review the existing land uses associated with the employment base namely the industrial and commercial land use categories. used as the time base. In most cases 1986 was a) Industrial The existing designated industrial area amounts to 204 ha (504 acres) of which 36 ha (89 acres) were vacant in 1986 with 31 ha vacant at the time of writing (June 1987). Developed lands include those with actual structures, structures under construction or building permits have been issued. parcels All land for which description is on the basis of net land for the industrial development as well as the internal road system but excludes all else. The developed industrial area includes 68 firms in manufacturing, warehousing, construction transportation category, (M.W.C.T.) and 30 firms in institutional and service commercial category. the and the This latter grouping includes a religious institution, a Legion Hall, commercial offices, some retail outlets, auto service shops, some services to business, and restaurants. -42- 5. EXISTING DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS (Cont'd) Absorption Rate A number of sources have been analyzed to determine the rate of industrial growth in Aurora. Significant industrial growth did not occur in Aurora until the required infrastructure was put in place in the mid 1970's. Examination of Aurora Building Department statistics reveal significant industrial construction started in 197 8 and has been steady over the ten year period to 1987 despite fluctuations from year to year. In 1986, of the 204 ha (504 acres) of industrial lands in Aurora 36 ha (89 acres) remained vacant. The amount of designated land in Aurora prior to 1977 was 49 ha (121 acres), including the internal road system. The amount of land absorbed in the 9 year period from 1978 to 1986 is the 1986 total of industrial lands less the pre 1977 total less the 19 86 vacant lands, ( 204 ha less 49 ha, less 3 6 ha); this totals 119 ha (294 acres) which represents an absorption rate of 13.2 ha (32.7 acres) per year. A review of site plan applications for buildings in the industrial area for the past three years (1987, 86 and 85) yields an average annual absorption rate of 12 ha (29.7 acres) excluding roads. Assuming an additional 10% for road requirement, the above data would yield 13.2 ha (32.6 acres) per year. -43- ' / i j 5. EXISTING DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS (cont'd) This needs study will apply an absorption rate of 13 ha (32 acres) per year and will use 1986 as a base year in the projections. 1986 has been chosen as that was the last year complete data was established for numbers of jobs in the industrial area. Percentage of Jobs in M.W.C.T. In 1986 the number of jobs in the manufacturing, warehousing, transporation and communications sectors (M.W.C.T.) amounted to approximately 38% of the total of 7536 jobs in Aurora. This needs study assumes an increase in the percentage of the M.W.C.T. classification from 38% to 42% and as will be seen in the next section, a corresponding decrease in the percentage of commercial jobs in the community. The 42% of M.W.C.T. in the community job base will apply to new jobs being created in Aurora, that is, those jobs projected beyond 1986. The reasons for assuming the 42% of the M.W.C.T. classification for new jobs are set out in Section 7, the Regional Context. b) Commercial Land in the Aurora Urban Area The total designated commercial land within the existing urban boundary is approximately 53 ha (130 acres) of which less than 4 ha (10 acres) remain vacant; a review of -44- 1, j 5. EXISTING DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS (cont'd) b) Commercial Land in the Aurora Urban Area the central area indicates that an additional 6 to 8 ha (15 to 20 acres) would be suitable for redevelopment for commercial use. It was estimated that jobs in the commercial sector in 1986 totalled 3087 excluding commercial jobs in the industrial area, with a worker density of approximately 63 per ha (25.5 per acre). Based on existing worker density, the vacant and developable commercial lands could accommodate 630 to 756 new jobs. The job opportunities in the commercial sector in Aurora i!Jcluding retail, office, entertainment, etc., in 1986 accounted for approximately 46% of total. Assuming a slight drop in this percentage in the long term to about 42%, and using the Markham Transportation employment projections, the following figures emerge. al By the year 2001, a total of 12,700 job opportunities are forecasted for Aurora creating 5344 new jobs of which 42% or 2245 would be in the commercial sector. Of this total 7 56 would be accommodated in new development and redevelopent in the central Aurora urban area and a certain amount in the new proposed industrial area or approximately 239 (see section 8). This would leave a potential commercial job base of 1,250 (2,245 new jobs less 756 in central area, and less 239 in the new industrial area) for which additional commercial lands would be required. -45 - I ''' ' J b) Commercial Use Land in the Aurora Urban Area (cont'd) bl The residual new commercial base of 1250 jobs would require a land area of approximately 19.8 ha (49 acres) applying the worker density of 63 jobs per ha. cl The land demand for new commercial land outside of the central urban area for the year 2 011 would be approximately 43 ha (106 acres) using the same method of calculation as above. The implications of the above figures are clear, there is insufficient land to accommodate the projected commercial job base within the central area of the Town. The analysis also justifies the designation of lands within the study area for a certain amount of commercial use. A total of 15.4 ha (38 acres) has been set aside for commercial development consisting of: Free Standing Office Space Service Commercial Commercial 2.0 ha 10.6 ha 2.8 ha 15.4 ha (38 Acres); The above figures exclude the Hydro corridor. -46- 6. SUMMARY OF THE ASSQMPTIONS The following assumptions are used in determining the land needs set out in this study. a) The developable lands in the study area amounts to approximately 376 acres. b) The land use in the industrial designations will consist of a mix of M. w. c. T. and associated commercial. The associated commercial will be calculated on the basis of 11% of the M.W.C.T. c) Commercial uses within the study area consisting of free standing offices, service commercial and commercial will require approxlffiately 15.4 ha (38 acres). These commercial uses are beyond the capacity of the urban core area and are not part of the integrated commercial uses mentioned in 6(b) above. d) A worker density of 25 per hectare (10 per acre) shall be used for the industrial catagories in the study area. e) The employment associated with the is M.W.C.T. component is assumed to be 42% of new jobs in the total long range employment forecast for Aurora. f) Rate of industrial land absorption based on past performance shall be assumed at 13 ha (32 acres) per year. This is considered an appropriate figure in view of the regional economic factors to be discussed in the following section. -47- 6. SUMMARY OF THE ASSUMPTIONS (cont'd) g) A 10% vacancy factor shall be applied to the land needs. h) 16 ha of the 36 ha of vacant land in 1986 for the existing industrial area shall be carried forward in the land forecasts. The remaining 20 ha of vacant land is deemed to represent a 10% vacancy ractor for the existing 204 ha of designated industrial land. 7. THE REGIONAL CONTEXT Aurora has experienced a relatively high rate of industrial growth over the past decade. This development can be viewed as part of a larger industrial conurbation involving concentrations in Richmond Hill, Aurora and Newmarket with orientation along the Highway 404 corridor. Aurora will continue to experience a strong long term demand for industrial development and a number of factors may be cited in support. a) Aurora is centrally located within a projected urban population of approximately 200,000 persons within a half hour drive; with the emerging population will come the full range of support services for major industrial concentrations. b) The existing Regional and Provincial road network, the main feature being Highway 404, will afford convenient access. c) Current land values for serviced industrial land in the Aurora area is approximately half that of lands 15 minutes by road to the south, and one third that of the lands on the north Metro fringe area at Steeles Avenue. -48- 7. THE REGIONAL CONTEXT (cont'd) d) There is a substantial migration of business and industrial firms from Metro Toronto. In 1985-86 of the 1,660 new firms along with 20,422 new employees locating in the Region, 22% migrated from the Metro Toronto area, mainly to the southern municipalities of the Region. With the completion of Highway 404, the build-up of population, and the increasing land values in the southern areas of the Region, more of these migrating firms will tend to locate in the Aurora area. 8. THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST Two sets_ of :data were examined in order to project employment ~-_; numbers-for Aurora: Regional employment forecasts based on the 1983 Markham Transportation Study and, the summary projections for the Toronto Region .which are expressed as a ratio of job opportunities to the population within the urban concentration. The Toronto Region in this case consists of Metro Toronto and the Regions of Peel, Halton, York and Dufferin. The base years of 2001 and 2011 are projected. a) Regional Forecast The projected employment forecast for Aurora is as follows: Year 2001 12,700 Jobs Year 2011 16,740 Jobs The employment forecast for the industrial designations in the study area is obtained by applying the assumed 42% -49- ( .. _j 8. THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST (cont'd) M.W.C.T. ratio of new jobs created since 1986, and adding an 11% component for other uses, mainly commercial. New jobs for industrial area: Year 2001: 12,700 less 7,536 (1986 jobs) = 5,164 x .42 = 2,169 new jobs Other Uses = 11% of MWCT =.11 x 2,169 = 239 jobs Total jobs industrial area (less commercial) 2.408 Year 2011: 16,740 less 7,536 (1986 jobs) = 9,204 x .42 = 3,867 jobs (MWCT) Other uses = 11% of MWCT =.11 x 3,867 = 426 jobs Total jobs industrial area (less commercial) 4,293 The land need is obtained by applying the assumed worker density, adding the requirement for the special commercial as mentioned in 5 b) above and applying the 10% vacancy rate. -50- 8. THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST (cont'd) Ygar 2QQ1: Industrial Component = 2408/25 = 96.3 ha Commercial Component = 7 7 ha 104.0 ha Plus 10% vacancy = 10.4 ha Less 1986 Vacant Land = 16.0 ha TQTAL LAND REQUIRED = 98,4 hQ. !<l43al Ygar 2011: Industrial Component = 4293/25 = 171.7 ha Commercial Component = l!i,4 ha 187.1 ha Plus 10% vacancy = 18.7 ha Less 1986 Vacant Land = 16,0 ha TOTAL LAND REQUIRED = 189.8 ha ! 4fi9al b) Ratio of Employment to Population: Toronto Region Forecast The following data was obtained from the Metropolitan Toronto Planning Department. -51 - ;l 8. THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST (cont'd) Year 1981 1991 2001 2011 Year 1981 1991 2001 2011. Summary of Toronto Region Projections Metro Toronto Toronto Region York Region Population Employ. Population Employ. Population Employ. 2,137,395 1,240,000 3,378,262 1,817,495 252,053 105,945 2,183,883 1,375,600 3,908,660 2,104,580 393,875 159,900 2,186,672 1,416,600 4,307,163 2,308,679 514,818 201,900 2,193,958 1,445,600 4,669,276 2,451.608 613,283 250,900 The ab.ove data yields the following metro/regional ratios of employment to population. Metro Toronto Toronto Region York Region (Metro & Outlying Regions) .58 .54 .42 .62 .54 .41 .65 .54 .39 .66 .53 .41 Notes: Source Metro Planning Department: Metro Facts Nov. 4; Small Area Projections for 2011, June 1986 Examination of York Region data for 1985 yields population of 324,064 with employment of 150,190 for an employment to population ratio of .46, for 1986. -52- 8. THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST (cont'd) The data from both the Metro Toronto and York Region Planning Department show a much higher employment rate in York Region than anticipated by Metro Toronto, particularly in recent years with the current employment/population ratio in the order of .46 for York Region as a whole. The Employment to population ratio in Aurora in 1986 was approximately .36 which was below the average for the Region and well below the Metro forecast. There are no economic or locational constraints acting on the municipality that would prevent this ratio from increasing in Aurora with time as the population reaches a leveling off. Based on all above data, the el!lployment/population ratio for Aurora assumed for the study·is .42. Project populations for Aurora are assumed at 29,000 for 2001 and 35, 000 for 2011, (Markham Transportation Study, 1983; subsequent Regional modifications). Assuming a future employment to population ratio of .42, the land needs are as follows: Year 2001: New jobs: = .42 (emp./pop. ratio) x 29000 (2001 population) = 12,180 less 7536 (1986 jobs) = 4644 M.W.C.T. component = .42 x 4644 = 1951 Other uses = 11% of M.W.C.T. = 215 Total jobs industrial component = 2166 -53- j 0 8 0 THE EMPLOYMENT FORECAST (cont'd) Land requirement: Industrial = 2166/25 = 86.6 ha commercial = 7 7 ha 94.3 ha Plus 10% Vacancy = 9.4 ha Less 1986 Vacant Lands = 16,0 ha TOTAL LAND REQUIRED = 87.7 ha ( 217 a) Year 2011: New jobs: = .42 (emp./pop. ratio) x 14700 (2001 population) = 14,700 less 7536 (1986 jobs) = 7164 M.W.C.T. component = .42 x 7164 = 3009 Other Uses = 11% of M.W.C.T. = ~ Total jobs industrial component = 3340 Land requirement: Industrial = 3340/25 = 133.6 ha commercial = 15,4 ha 149.0 ha Plus 10% Vacancy = 14.9 ha Less 1986 Vacant Lands = 16,0 ha TQTAL LAND REQUIRED = 147,~ !lg, -54- (Jfi5g,) 9. SUMMARY OF LAND REQUIREMENTS The following table compares the results for land requirements using the two sets of forecasting data as well as projecting the historical absorption rate. The absorption rate is assumed at 13 ha per year (32 acres). Caution should be used in using absorption rates as projections for future requirements; the rate is an illustration. of past performance only. The change in rate of industrial development is affected by a complex set of exogenous variables such as changing land values, external infrastructure changes, marketing and migration conditions affecting overall growth of the region and so on. A noteworthy example was the historic rate of industrial growth in Richmond Hill. The absorption rates in that Municipality ranged from a low of 6 acres to 23 acres per year during the years 1976 to 1985; the current rate is 155 acres per year. Summary Land Requirements: Year 2001 Year 2011 Regional Forecast Data 98.4 ha (243a) 189.8ha (469a) Toronto Region Data 87.7 ha (217a) 147.9ha (365a) Absorption Rate @ 13ha/yr 179 ha (442a) 309 ha (764a) From the above data it is realistic to assume that the study area can be justified for the provision of industrial lands for the next 14 to 24 years. -55- '-. ( ; i .\,.-'' 10. THE URBAN STRUCTURE The Town of Aurora requires a contiguous block of land of the magnitude of the study area to accommodate industrial development for the next 14 to 24 years. The study area is in the appropriate location for such a concentration. Figure 1 in Part I illustrates the physical structure of the basic land use components of the serviced urban area. The following planning reasons establish that no other location within the municipality could be considered for the future industrial park. a) The study area is adjacent to the existing sanitary servicing trunk that will service the industrial lands. b) The proposed development is a continuation of the existing planned industrial area in the municipality and a clear separation from the residential area is maintained. c) The study area is well serviced by the surrounding arterial road network. Most of the industrial .traffic will use Highway 404 for external connections thus minimizing the , effects of industrial traffic on the residential areas. d) The municipality is currently examining the expansion of the urban area with a view to updating the Official Plan. The appropriate northern and eastern urban boundaries in such an expansion are the st; John's Sideroad and Bayview Avenue to the east. The study area completes the expanded area to these boundaries. -56- APPENDIX II TRAFFIC AND ROAD IMPROVEMENTS The examination of traffic generation and distribution resulting from the proposed development in the Amendment area was carried out with a view to determine improvements to the existing external road network. The analysis included site inspections, review of potential access routes to the study area, development of guidelines for intersections involving the external road network, development of traffic generation and distribution forecasts and consultation with the staff of the Regional Engineering Department. Trip Generation The number of vehicular trips associated with the Amendment area was determined based on an assumed worker density, a percentage of the labour force being absentees, and walking in or being dropped off. an assumed percentage using buses, The morning peak hour was assumed to represent the most critical traffic load and trips were assigned to the development area. The following assumptions were used in determining traffic generation: a) Worker density-30.0 persons/ha. (12 per acre) based on a mixture of commercial and industrial uses b) Automobile occupancy 1.2 workers per car -57 - 1. \ I I Trip Generation (Cont'dl c) A 10% absentee factor was used which would include those on vacation or ill. 5% of the peak hour labour force would arrive by bus and 5% would be dropped off or walk in. d) It was assumed that 65% of the labour force would arrive during the morning peak hour. Traffic Distribution Distribution was assigned to the surrounding road network based on the Y~~k Region Employment End Travel Survey, 1986; Exhibit 4.2-1. A slightly heavier weight was applied to a.m. peak westbound traffic from Highway 404 as it was felt this expressway will become the main link to the industrial area from the major urban centres of Newmarket, Richmond Hill, Markham and north Metro Toronto. The resultant general trip origins from the surrounding into the Amendment area are shown on Figure 1. distribution is shown on Figure 2. This distribution road system Detailed was obtained ' in assigning the generated traffic sector. The methodology is summarized to the proposed industrial at the end of this section. The critical area during the a.m. peak period is the intersection of Wellington Street and Bayview Avenue. Some 496 left turns off Wellington easterly to northbound Bayview are anticipated along with 763 right turns from Wellington westerly to northbound Bayview. -58- Traffic Distribution (cont'd) The traffic generation and distribution has been discussed with the Region of York traffic planners and with Aurora staff. As a result of these discussions, a number of improvements are required to the surrounding road network. a) Prior to complete development of the Amendment area, the St. John's Sideroad will be improved from Old Yonge Street to Bayview Avenue to highway standards to the satisfaction of the Town of Aurora. b) Three entrances from Bayview Avenue between Wellington Street and St. John's Sideroad are required into the Amendment area. The intersections of these entrances with Bayview may require signalization and are to be located to maximize sight distances along Bayview and with ideal separation distances of 366 metres. -~- ·; Traffic Generation and Distribution: Approximate development area: 152 ha (376 acres) Assume 30.0 workers/ha. (12 per acre): Total workers Less 10% absent Net labour force Morning peak hour factor Walk in/drop off = 5% by bus = 5% Net workers at a.m. peak Automobile occupancy = 1.2 workers per car= 4,512 451 4,061 65% of net= 2,640 264 2,376 1,980 trips inbound overall distribution is based on the York Region Employment End Travel Survey, 1986; Exhibit 4.2-1 with a heavier weight of traffic westbound on Wellington from Highway 404. The general distribution is shown on sketch 1. Detailed distribution is shown on sketch 2. Critical areas are left turns from Wellington eastbound onto Bayview Avenue northbound, and left turns from northbound on Bayview into the site. The critical turning volume at the p.m. peak hour would be from Bayview southbound left onto Wellington eastbound. -60- T. JOHN'S SIDEROAD VELLINGTON STREET !ENDERSON DRIVE N ROAD .... w w a:: .... en )WN OF AURORA VANDORF SIDEROAD JRORA EAST INDUSTRIAL ESTATES 1PENDIX 2 FIGURE I :NERAL TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTION -61- .. 38.5% 7.5% APPENDIX III Hydro Areas Easement Total Type of Development Acre Ha Acre Ha Acre Ha ------------------------------------------------------- Prestige Industrial 115 46.54 3 1. 21 118 47.75 General Industrial 228 92.27 12 4.86 240 97.13 service Commercial 26 10.50 2 0.81 28 11.33 Commercial 7 2.83 7 2.83 ior Open Space ) )pecific 124 50.18 6 2.43 130 52.61. l / TOTALS 500 202.32 23 9.31 523 211.65 ___ / -63- 238 ., ST. JOHN'S SIOEROAD 99 337 ... ~ 24 ! i r 270 rt 2~ 67 24 484--- 1407 ~ 1- 11.1 11.1 11.1 0:: ::J 1-1-z Ill 11.1 11.1 11.1 ~ 1-a: 1-Ill Ill ~ 0:: ::J 11.1 11.1 ::r C) > 148-~ ~ )., III WELLINGTON STREET )o 248 .. 496;1 -·~ -· ' -149 HENDERSON DRIVE ~ VANDORF. SIDEROAD ~ BLOOMINGTON ROAD· r:----------- 1 P.M. PEAK 1 1 . IWELLJNGTON ~ ~ -- TOWN OF AURORA ~STREET I ~9 1 BAYVIEW AVENUE '-------------· AURORA EAST INDUSTRIAL ESTATES APPENDIX 2 FIGURE 2 A.M. PEAK DETAILED DISTRIBUTION -62-